| Zia's 
              Question and Solution for Week 2 'The 
              advantage of bidding is to describe your hand to your partner. Pre-emptive 
              bidding can often be a double-edged sword. Although it limits communication 
              between your opponents, as information it can turn out to be what 
              Neil Armstrong might describe as one small step for partner, one 
              giant leap for opponents.' - ZIA East 
              deals and NS are vulnerable. Zia picks up this really good hand: The 
              bidding is as follows: 
               
                | West | North | East | South |   
                |  |  | 3 | 6 |   
                | Pass | Pass | Pass |  |  East 
              opens with an awkward bid of 3 . 
              Zia doesn't really have any way of bidding his giant of a hand scientifically. 
              He could settle for 4  and a sure profit, but that's not his style. So Zia bids a bold 
              6  . The chances are that 
              Zia's partner will have some bits and pieces to enable him to make 
              a slam - after all, the K  by itself would be enough. The final contract is 6  . West 
              leads  2 and when Zia 
              sees dummy, he regrets his decision:  Zia's 
              partner does indeed have some bits and pieces - the trouble is that 
              they don't appear to be where Zia needs them. After West's opening 
              lead of  2, Zia plays 
              low with  4 from dummy, 
              East contributes a studious  7, 
              and Zia wins with  A. What 
              card would Zia play next?  Zia's 
              Solution The 
              full deal is as shown:   
              Zia's answer is  8,  6,  5 or  3 
              (each of these cards is considered correct for the Orbis Hand of 
              the Week). Zia 
              needs to reach the heart winners in dummy. There are three possible 
              approaches: 1. 
              Play a Low Spade (Zia's Solution) Lead 
              a low spade towards  9, 
              hoping that West will have  10. 
              This is the best percentage play, especially given that East opened 
              with a 3  pre-empt. 
              On the actual deal, West would win with  10 
              (ducking would not help). Whatever suit West returns, Zia can win. 
              For example, if West returns a spade dummy's  9 
              will win the trick. Zia's carefully crafted entry to dummy now enables 
              him to cash the  AKQ, 
              discarding his club and diamond losers. Final 
              Result: NS win 12 tricks for +1430 2. 
              Play a High Spade (Approach 'A') You 
              could cash  A, 
              hoping to drop the singleton  10. 
              In this case,  9 
              would be an entry to dummy's  AKQ. 
              On the actual deal, this approach would not succeed. Cashing a high 
              spade could have worked, but playing a low spade is the better percentage 
              play given East's 3  bid. 3. 
              Play a High Spade (Approach 'B') A possible 
              approach would be to draw trumps hoping  10 
              falls, failing which to then exit with  Q 
              in the hope that West has to give dummy an entry. On the actual 
              deal, West's  10 
              does not drop but there is still a chance. Zia can draw the remaining 
              trump and then exit with  Q. 
              If West wins with  K and 
              started with  KJ, he will 
              have to present you with an entry to dummy. This might work, but 
              it is more likely that West will have one specific card,  10, 
              than two specific cards,  K 
              and  J (making Zia's strategy 
              of playing a low spade wiser). Besides, even if West does have that 
              club holding, he can always duck  Q! 
              Then, Zia will succeed only if West began with two or three clubs 
              and East five or four - wildly unlikely on the bidding. Again, Zia's 
              approach of playing a low spade is the better percentage play.   Just 
              a hint - after you rack up the slam with this play, it would not 
              be appropriate to sing 'Fly me to the moon!' Back   Conceived 
              and sponsored by Orbis Investment Management Limited. To learn about 
              the award winning Orbis Funds, visit www.orbis.bm. |